March 7, 2014
A cold front will press southward across the Plains and Midwest on
Friday and Saturday with scattered light precipitation. Another front
pushes across the northern and central Plains into the Midwest on
Monday and Tuesday. A wave of low pressure moving along the front will
spread a round of rain and snow from the central and southern Plains
across the OH valley and TN valley to the mid-Atlantic and Northeast
from later Tuesday into Thursday. This low could develop into a
significant winter storm once it nears the East coast, but could still
produce another round of accumulating snow and ice from NE and KS
across MO to OH around Wednesday of next week. Another significant
shot of cold air will invade the Midwest and eastern Plains in the
wake of this system later next week.
Dry and warm weather will prevail across much of CA for Friday and
Saturday. Another disturbance will bring rain and mountain snow from
northern CA to the Northwest on Sunday and Monday, then dry and warm
across CA the rest of next week.
High pressure will promote sunshine and dry weather across much of
Argentina on Friday. A cold front will spread numerous showers and
storms northward across the the Argentina croplands Saturday into
Monday with rainfall of 0.40-1.25 inches (10-32mm) with local amounts
to 2 inches (50mm). Areas from Entre Rios to Cordoba on south will dry
out on Monday, then dry across most of Argentina on Tuesday and
Wednesday. All models continue to trend wetter with the front later
next week. It now appears a front will spread another round of showers
and storms northward across Argentina from Thursday through Saturday
of next week with moderate to heavy rainfall.
Areas from RGS to Parana will be largely dry from Friday through the
weekend, while spotty storms linger over SP and MGDS on Friday. SP and
MGDS will dry out this weekend. Another front lifting northward will
trigger spotty showers and storms across RGS and SC from Monday
through Wednesday. More widespread thunderstorms are expected from
Thursday through next Sunday. This front will lead to scattered
showers and storms from Parana to SP and MGDS from Monday through
Friday of next week. Dry weather will return to these areas next
weekend. A front lifting north will help enhance shower and
thunderstorm activity from Mato Grosso to Minas Gerias from Friday
through Monday. These areas will dry out from east to west later next
week, but at least spotty rains will persist over Mato Grosso and
parts of Goias through most of next week. Overall, rainfall will
continue to average below normal across Minas Gerias and Bahia during
the next 10-15 days.
A worsening drought will continue to stress rubber and palm oil crops
across Malaysia and Thailand over the next couple of weeks with no
significant relief expected through at least the third week of March.
We continue to monitor a weak area of low pressure currently located
to the east of Queensland, Australia. This area is still disorganized
with scattered areas of convection around a weak low level
circulation. The environment here is somewhat favorable for further
development with movement towards the southwest across the Coral Sea.
Formation of a tropical depression could take place later today or by
early Saturday, EST. Ultimately, steering winds will bring this
weather system, potentially a tropical cyclone, towards the middle
coast of Queensland on Saturday, EST, with greater impacts occurring
from Saturday night and lasting through Monday. Though there will be
gusty winds along the coast, the greatest threat with this will likely
be flooding rainfall due to the slow movement and long duration.
Locations from Townsville to Rockhampton will be at the greatest risk
for flooding rainfall over the weekend and into early next week.
Some other areas to week an eye on during the next few days will be a
small area of low pressure located in the Arafura Sea which will track
east towards the northern tip of Queensland by the weekend bringing
locally heavy rain. Much further to the east, near Fiji, there is a
broad area of low pressure which may slowly develop early next week.
A slow-moving low will produce widespread rain and snow from Italy
into southeast Europe on Friday. These rains will be helpful in
boosting soil moisture following the recent dry weather, but will slow
seasonal fieldwork. Scattered showers will linger across southeast
Europe this weekend and Monday.
A front will bring scattered rains to the UK into Scandinavia on
Friday; otherwise a prolonged period of dry and mild weather is
expected across northern and western Europe through most of next week.
This dry weather will favor seasonal fieldwork as well as provide
these area with a break from the stormy pattern that has prevailed
much of this winter.